The 2026 FIFA World Cup is down to one final match.
Spain and Argentina will face off in the championship game on Sunday (July 19) at MetLife Stadium (temporarily known as New York New Jersey Stadium for the World Cup) in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
Defending champions Argentina are looking to win back-to-back World Cups behind Lionel Messi, while Spain is aiming to capture its second World Cup title after last winning in 2010.
So, who is expected to come out on top?
Spain Is the Favorite to Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final
According to prediction market Kalshi, where the betting volume has reached over $1.3 billion, Spain is currently the favorite to win the trophy in 2026.
Kalshi Gives Spain a 58.7% Chance of Beating Argentina
As of publication, Kalshi gives Spain a 58.7% chance of winning the World Cup final, compared to 42.4% for Argentina.
Argentina Is Fighting to Win Back-to-Back World Cup Titles
Spain has been one of the tournament’s most dominant teams, defeating Portugal in the Round of 16, Belgium in the quarterfinals and France 2-0 in the semifinals.
Spain Is Seeking Its First World Cup Victory Since 2010
Argentina, meanwhile, has continued its remarkable run after winning the 2022 World Cup. Led by Lionel Messi, the squad advanced past Egypt, Switzerland and England to reach another final. A victory would give Argentina its fourth World Cup title and make it the first nation to successfully defend the trophy back-to-back since Brazil in 1962.
Lionel Messi Could Lead Argentina to Its Fourth World Cup Trophy
While Spain enters the match as the betting favorite, the final is expected to be a close contest between two of soccer’s biggest teams.
Here’s When and Where to Watch the Spain vs. Argentina Final
The FIFA World Cup final kicks off on Sunday (July 19) at 3 p.m. ET on Fox and Telemundo.
Check out the full list of performers for the World Cup final.
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